microsoft internet backgammon server down

He only plays when he has a better than average chance after the first roll. This guy didn’t prove that sixes came up too often, he proved that they came up about as often as random chance would predict.īut what did he do? He said that now, whenever his opponent rolls a six on the first roll, he concludes that his opponent is cheating and he immediately abandons the game. Eleven out of thirty-six is about thirty percent. When you roll two dice, there are thirty-six possible outcomes. See his mistake? A six will come up one-sixth of the time on one die. He found that the opponents rolled a six more than thirty percent of the time when the odds should have been one-sixth of the time. The writer had recorded the number of sixes rolled on the opponent’s first roll on over 2000 games. One post stood out because it cited actual numbers.

But he never does.Īlmost all of these posts about unfair dice rolls show ignorance about basic probability calculations. At best, they mention a friend of a friend who says that he could write such a program if he felt like it. None of these players can point to a site where you can actually download these mythical cheating programs yourself. From this, they infer that, somehow, the other player has a program that manipulates the dice rolls to give them doubles when they need them, rolls that let them make points more often than they should, or that block you from getting the roll required to get off the bar. Most of the people who complain about cheating, complain that the dice rolls favor the other player. Silly, ill-informed, immature discussion.Īre there ways to cheat? Maybe, but probably not the way it’s discussed on the web forums. Googling “microsoft internet backgammon cheating”, I’ve found a lot of discussion about cheating on Microsoft Internet Backgammon.

Microsoft internet backgammon server down